Based on news reports, the Japanese have at least three things going for them: (a) the Fukushima reactor heat is from leftover heat remaining after a full reactor SCRAM, not a still fully-running reactor like Chernobyl was, (b) if you had your choice of a total meltdown in a Western water-moderator reactor vs. a Chernobyl style RMBK flammable graphite moderator reactor, from what I understand you're better off with a Western one and (b) there at least is a big empty patch of ocean to the East, with the prevailing winds to the East.
All those things are likely to reduce the damage by orders of magnitude, as I understand.
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Date: 2011-03-12 10:55 am (UTC)All those things are likely to reduce the damage by orders of magnitude, as I understand.